2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Overview

By district Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 172,167 68.59% 78,849 31.41% 0 0.00% 251,016 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 2 171,700 66.72% 79,964 31.07% 5,681 2.21% 257,345 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 3 101,930 36.57% 173,002 62.07% 3,788 1.36% 278,720 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 4 162,946 62.24% 90,536 34.58% 8,330 3.18% 261,812 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 5 172,093 78.94% 45,890 21.05% 34 0.02% 218,017 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 6 154,468 51.00% 144,736 47.79% 3,684 1.22% 302,888 100.0% Republican holdTotal 935,304 59.58% 612,977 39.05% 21,517 1.37% 1,569,798 100.0%

District 1

Incumbent Republican James Comer, who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+23.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee James Comer, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Paul Walker, professor

Eliminated in primary Alonzo Pennington, musician

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Results

District 2

Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Brett Guthrie, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Hank Linderman, musician

Eliminated in primary Brian Pedigo, teacher and farmer Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, veteran and former intern for William D. Ford Grant Short, pilot, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Results

District 3

Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee John Yarmuth, incumbent U.S. representative

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Vickie Yates Glisson, lawyer and former state health secretary

Eliminated in primary Mike Craven, Ford worker Rhonda Palazzo, realtor

Withdrawn Waymen Eddings

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Results

District 4

Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Thomas Massie, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Seth Hall, health insurance worker

Eliminated in primary Christina Lord Patti Piatt, business executive

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Results

District 5

Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+31.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Gerardo Serrano

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Kenneth Stepp, attorney

Eliminated in primary Scott Sykes

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Results

District 6

Incumbent Republican Andy Barr, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Andy Barr, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Chuck Eddy

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Amy McGrath, retired U.S. Marine fighter pilot

Eliminated in primary Jim Gray, mayor of Lexington and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 Theodore Green Daniel Kemph, business analyst Reggie Thomas, state senator Geoff Young, perennial candidate

Campaign The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018. McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me", in which she spoke of her Navy service (being the first female Marine to fly an F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.

The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.

Endorsements

Polling Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMargin of errorJimGrayAmyMcGrathReggieThomasOtherUndecidedGarin Hart Yang (D-McGrath)Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath) April 17–19, 2018 400 ±5.0% 35% 42% 6% 3% 14%Mellman Group (D-Gray)Mellman Group (D-Gray) March 3–6, 2018 400 ±4.9% 52% 19% 6% — 23%

Results

General election Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror AndyBarr (R) AmyMcGrath (D) Other UndecidedNYT Upshot/Siena CollegeNYT Upshot/Siena College November 1–4, 2018 438 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 2% 10%Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr) October 6–8, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 46% – –Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath) September 30 – October 2, 2018 501 ± 4.5% 44% 51% – –Pulse Opinion ResearchPulse Opinion Research September 12–17, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 47% 2% 3%NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeNYT Upshot/Siena College September 6–8, 2018 506 ± 4.9% 47% 46% – 7%Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF) September 4–6, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 49% 45% – 6%Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath) July 7–10, 2018 461 ± 4.6% 43% 50% – 7%Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF) June 6–7, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 38% 51% – 11%DCCC (D)DCCC (D) April 30 – May 2, 2018 508 ± 4.4% 37% 52% – 8%Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)February 5–7, 2018401 ± 5.0%48%44% – –

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror AndyBarr (R) GenericDemocrat Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) February 12–13, 2018 662 ± 3.8% 42% 44% – 14%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018

Results

See also 2018 Kentucky House of Representatives election

References

External links Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia Campaign finance at FEC Campaign finance at OpenSecrets